Nogales, AZ metro area Housing Market Brief
metro · AZ · as of August 2026
What is Nogales, AZ metro area’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Where is Nogales, AZ metro area in its market cycle?
Nogales, AZ metro area is classified as Emerging — early in its cycle, with scores climbing from a low base. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Nogales, AZ metro area?
Our model forecasts Nogales, AZ metro area’s home prices to rise about 7.0% over the next 12 months (medium confidence).
This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.
Nogales, AZ metro area housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $297K | ▲ +9.8% |
| Median Days on Market | 89 days | ▼ -3.3% |
| Months of Supply | 7.2 | ▼ -4% |
| Homes for Sale | 283 | ▼ -4.7% |
| Homes Sold | 41 | 0% |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $185 | ▲ +6.4% |
How has Nogales, AZ metro area’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Nogales, AZ metro area
- Vernal, UT metro area, UTmetro43
- Mayfield, KY metro area, KYmetro47
- Hermiston, OR metro area, ORmetro43
- Raymondville, TX metro area, TXmetro35
- Price, UT metro area, UTmetro40
- Brownsville, TN metro area, TNmetro33
- Natchez, MS metro area, MSmetro36
- Moses Lake, WA metro area, WAmetro35
- Brainerd, MN metro area, MNmetro32
- Sault Ste. Marie, MI metro area, MImetro34
Frequently asked questions
Is Nogales, AZ metro area a buyer's or seller's market?
As of August 2026, Nogales, AZ metro area is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 39 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Nogales, AZ metro area?
The median sale price in Nogales, AZ metro area is $297K, having risen 9.8% over the past year.
How affordable is Nogales, AZ metro area?
Nogales, AZ metro area scores 24 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.
What's driving Nogales, AZ metro area's Alpha Score?
Nogales, AZ metro area's strongest dimension is Price Momentum (68/100) and its weakest is Economic Strength (17/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Nogales, AZ metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.