45Alpha

Rapid City, SD metro area Housing Market Brief

metro · SD · score computed October 2026

Balanced

What is Rapid City, SD metro area’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●32
Inventory Health25%
●79

Population band 4 of 5 (population 112,714–277,881) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●26
Economic Strength20%
●50
Rental Yield15%
●22

Where is Rapid City, SD metro area in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Rapid City, SD metro area is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Rapid City, SD metro area?

Metro-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Rapid City, SD metro area housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$392K▲ +8.7%Redfin
Median Days on Market73 days▼ -8.7%Redfin
Months of Supply4.0▼ -28.6%Redfin
Homes for Sale656▼ -22.4%Redfin
Homes Sold162▲ +6.6%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$221▲ +5.8%Redfin

How has Rapid City, SD metro area’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 45
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Rapid City, SD metro area

Frequently asked questions

Is Rapid City, SD metro area a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Rapid City, SD metro area is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 45 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Rapid City, SD metro area?

The median sale price in Rapid City, SD metro area is $392K, having risen 8.7% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Rapid City, SD metro area?

Rapid City, SD metro area scores 26 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.

What's driving Rapid City, SD metro area's Alpha Score?

Rapid City, SD metro area's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (79/100) and its weakest is Rental Yield (22/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Rapid City, SD metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.