San Rafael, CA metro area Housing Market Brief
metro · CA · as of August 2026
What is San Rafael, CA metro area’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Where is San Rafael, CA metro area in its market cycle?
San Rafael, CA metro area is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for San Rafael, CA metro area?
Our model forecasts San Rafael, CA metro area’s home prices to rise about 2.3% over the next 12 months (medium confidence).
This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.
San Rafael, CA metro area housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $1.6M | ▼ -5% |
| Median Days on Market | 21 days | 0% |
| Months of Supply | 2.0 | ▼ -28.6% |
| Homes for Sale | 576 | ▼ -19% |
| Homes Sold | 289 | ▲ +13.3% |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $847 | ▼ -0.2% |
How has San Rafael, CA metro area’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like San Rafael, CA metro area
- Santa Fe, NM metro area, NMmetro32
- Oakland, CA metro area, CAmetro36
- Anaheim, CA metro area, CAmetro34
- Oxnard, CA metro area, CAmetro35
- Glenwood Springs, CO metro area, COmetro32
- San Luis Obispo, CA metro area, CAmetro33
- Napa, CA metro area, CAmetro38
- San Diego, CA metro area, CAmetro35
- Boulder, CO metro area, COmetro30
- Coeur d'Alene, ID metro area, IDmetro39
Frequently asked questions
Is San Rafael, CA metro area a buyer's or seller's market?
As of August 2026, San Rafael, CA metro area is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 35 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in San Rafael, CA metro area?
The median sale price in San Rafael, CA metro area is $1.6M, having fallen 5% over the past year.
How affordable is San Rafael, CA metro area?
San Rafael, CA metro area scores 1 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.
What's driving San Rafael, CA metro area's Alpha Score?
San Rafael, CA metro area's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (60/100) and its weakest is Rental Yield (1/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of San Rafael, CA metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.