San Rafael, CA metro area Housing Market Brief
metro · CA · score computed October 2026
What is San Rafael, CA metro area’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Where is San Rafael, CA metro area in its market cycle?
San Rafael, CA metro area is classified as Recovering — turning back up after a downturn. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for San Rafael, CA metro area?
Metro-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
San Rafael, CA metro area housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $1.5M | ▼ -1.5% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 25 days | ▼ -13.8% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 2.3 | ▼ -25.8% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 580 | ▼ -12.8% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 255 | ▲ +18.6% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $850 | ▲ +5.2% | Redfin |
How has San Rafael, CA metro area’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like San Rafael, CA metro area
- Seattle, WA metro area, WAmetro19
- Santa Cruz, CA metro area, CAmetro21
- Corvallis, OR metro area, ORmetro38
- Salinas, CA metro area, CAmetro17
- Oakland, CA metro area, CAmetro17
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WAmetro31
- Bend, OR metro area, ORmetro37
- St. George, UT metro area, UTmetro39
- San Luis Obispo, CA metro area, CAmetro16
- Denver, CO metro area, COmetro27
Frequently asked questions
Is San Rafael, CA metro area a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, San Rafael, CA metro area is classified as a Deep Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 14 out of 100. It is based on the 4 of five dimensions we can measure for this market — price, affordability, economic, and rental-yield — whose weights are scaled up to cover the whole score. The rest are not measured here and are left out rather than filled in with a placeholder.
Are home prices rising or falling in San Rafael, CA metro area?
The median sale price in San Rafael, CA metro area is $1.5M, having fallen 1.5% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is San Rafael, CA metro area?
San Rafael, CA metro area scores 0 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.
What's driving San Rafael, CA metro area's Alpha Score?
San Rafael, CA metro area's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (43/100) and its weakest is Affordability (0/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of five dimensions; 4 of them have data for this market.
Want the live, interactive view of San Rafael, CA metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.