36Alpha

Tampa, FL metro area Housing Market Brief

metro · FL · as of August 2026

Buyer's

What is Tampa, FL metro area’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
-0.632
Inventory Health25%
-9.429
Affordability20%
+1.627
Economic Strength20%
53
Rental Yield15%
+1.942

Where is Tampa, FL metro area in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Tampa, FL metro area is classified as Mature holding near a healthy peak. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Tampa, FL metro area?

Our model forecasts Tampa, FL metro area’s home prices to hold flat over the next 12 months (high confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Tampa, FL metro area housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$384K▲ +2.4%
Median Days on Market72 days-1.4%
Months of Supply4.9▲ +2.1%
Homes for Sale21,277▲ +1.8%
Homes Sold4,297-2%
Median Price / Sq Ft$225▲ +2.6%

How has Tampa, FL metro area’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 36
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Tampa, FL metro area

Frequently asked questions

Is Tampa, FL metro area a buyer's or seller's market?

As of August 2026, Tampa, FL metro area is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 36 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Tampa, FL metro area?

The median sale price in Tampa, FL metro area is $384K, having risen 2.4% over the past year.

How affordable is Tampa, FL metro area?

Tampa, FL metro area scores 27 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.

What's driving Tampa, FL metro area's Alpha Score?

Tampa, FL metro area's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (53/100) and its weakest is Affordability (27/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Tampa, FL metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.