38Alpha

Tampa, FL metro area Housing Market Brief

metro · FL · as of July 2026

Buyer's

What is Tampa, FL metro area’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
32
Inventory Health25%
39
Affordability20%
23
Economic Strength20%
35
Rental Yield15%
69

Where is Tampa, FL metro area in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Tampa, FL metro area is classified as Emerging early in its cycle, with scores climbing from a low base. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Tampa, FL metro area?

Our model forecasts Tampa, FL metro area’s home prices to rise about 3.3% over the next 12 months (high confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Tampa, FL metro area housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$388K▲ +3.6%
Median Days on Market48 days▲ +3.2%
Months of Supply3.6-26.7%
Homes for Sale17,577-19.7%
Homes Sold4,824▲ +9.2%
Median Price / Sq Ft$228▲ +2.4%

How has Tampa, FL metro area’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 38
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Tampa, FL metro area

Frequently asked questions

Is Tampa, FL metro area a buyer's or seller's market?

As of July 2026, Tampa, FL metro area is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 38 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Tampa, FL metro area?

The median sale price in Tampa, FL metro area is $388K, having risen 3.6% over the past year.

How affordable is Tampa, FL metro area?

Tampa, FL metro area scores 23 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.

What's driving Tampa, FL metro area's Alpha Score?

Tampa, FL metro area's strongest dimension is Rental Yield (69/100) and its weakest is Affordability (23/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Tampa, FL metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.