Tampa, FL metro area Housing Market Brief
metro · FL · score computed October 2026
What is Tampa, FL metro area’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 5 of 5 (population 278,335–19,798,537) · comparable within its band
Where is Tampa, FL metro area in its market cycle?
Tampa, FL metro area is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Tampa, FL metro area?
Metro-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Tampa, FL metro area housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $369K | ▼ -0.2% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 69 days | ▲ +30.2% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 5.0 | ▲ +11.1% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 21,665 | ▲ +9.7% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 4,212 | ▼ -1.1% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $221 | 0% | Redfin |
How has Tampa, FL metro area’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Tampa, FL metro area
- Palm Bay, FL metro area, FLmetro41
- Deltona, FL metro area, FLmetro41
- Fort Lauderdale, FL metro area, FLmetro33
- Dallas, TX metro area, TXmetro33
- Fort Worth, TX metro area, TXmetro35
- Jacksonville, FL metro area, FLmetro42
- Port St. Lucie, FL metro area, FLmetro41
- Orlando, FL metro area, FLmetro43
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TXmetro46
- Panama City, FL metro area, FLmetro52
Frequently asked questions
Is Tampa, FL metro area a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Tampa, FL metro area is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 43 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Tampa, FL metro area?
The median sale price in Tampa, FL metro area is $369K, having held roughly steady over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Tampa, FL metro area?
Tampa, FL metro area scores 18 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.
What's driving Tampa, FL metro area's Alpha Score?
Tampa, FL metro area's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (69/100) and its weakest is Affordability (18/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Tampa, FL metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.