37Alpha

Fresno, CA metro area Housing Market Brief

metro · CA · score computed October 2026

Buyer's

What is Fresno, CA metro area’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●74
Inventory Health25%
●42

Population band 5 of 5 (population 278,335–19,798,537) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●13
Economic Strength20%
+5.432
Rental Yield15%
●20

Where is Fresno, CA metro area in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Fresno, CA metro area is classified as Recovering — turning back up after a downturn. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Fresno, CA metro area?

Metro-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Fresno, CA metro area housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$417K▼ -4.8%Redfin
Median Days on Market58 days▼ -1.7%Realtor.com via FRED
Months of Supply3.6▲ +12.5%Redfin
Homes for Sale1,749▼ -0.7%Redfin
Homes Sold498▼ -9.9%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$261▲ +0.8%Redfin

How has Fresno, CA metro area’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 37
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Fresno, CA metro area

Frequently asked questions

Is Fresno, CA metro area a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Fresno, CA metro area is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 37 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Fresno, CA metro area?

The median sale price in Fresno, CA metro area is $417K, having fallen 4.8% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Fresno, CA metro area?

Fresno, CA metro area scores 13 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.

What's driving Fresno, CA metro area's Alpha Score?

Fresno, CA metro area's strongest dimension is Price Momentum (74/100) and its weakest is Affordability (13/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Fresno, CA metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.