34Alpha

Frederick, MD metro area Housing Market Brief

metro · MD · score computed September 2026

Buyer's

What is Frederick, MD metro area’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum27%
●44
Inventory Health—No data
—
Affordability27%
●20
Economic Strength27%
●51
Rental Yield20%
●17

Where is Frederick, MD metro area in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Frederick, MD metro area is classified as Recovering — turning back up after a downturn. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Frederick, MD metro area?

Our model forecasts Frederick, MD metro area’s home prices to rise about 2.8% over the next 12 months (high confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Frederick, MD metro area housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$608K▼ -0.9%
Median Days on Market43 days▲ +10.3%
Months of Supply2.9▲ +11.5%
Homes for Sale3,016▲ +9.9%
Homes Sold1,085▼ -0.5%
Median Price / Sq Ft$272▼ -0.4%

Markets like Frederick, MD metro area

Frequently asked questions

Is Frederick, MD metro area a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed September 2026, Frederick, MD metro area is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 34 out of 100. It is based on the 4 of five dimensions we can measure for this market — price, affordability, economic, and rental-yield — whose weights are scaled up to cover the whole score. The rest are not measured here and are left out rather than filled in with a placeholder.

Are home prices rising or falling in Frederick, MD metro area?

The median sale price in Frederick, MD metro area is $608K, having fallen 0.9% over the past year.

How affordable is Frederick, MD metro area?

Frederick, MD metro area scores 20 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.

What's driving Frederick, MD metro area's Alpha Score?

Frederick, MD metro area's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (51/100) and its weakest is Rental Yield (17/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of five dimensions; 4 of them have data for this market.

Want the live, interactive view of Frederick, MD metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.