Winchester, VA metro area Housing Market Brief
metro · VA · score computed October 2026
What is Winchester, VA metro area’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 4 of 5 (population 112,714–277,881) · comparable within its band
Where is Winchester, VA metro area in its market cycle?
Winchester, VA metro area is classified as Growing — strengthening, with scores rising over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Winchester, VA metro area?
Metro-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Winchester, VA metro area housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $395K | ▼ -7% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 58 days | ▲ +18.4% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 3.9 | ▲ +34.5% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 728 | ▲ +19.3% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 185 | ▼ -11.5% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $212 | ▼ -4.5% | Redfin |
How has Winchester, VA metro area’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Winchester, VA metro area
- New Brunswick, NJ metro area, NJmetro41
- Moses Lake, WA metro area, WAmetro42
- Harrisonburg, VA metro area, VAmetro55
- Wilmington, DE metro area, DEmetro47
- Greeneville, TN metro area, TNmetro41
- Forest City, NC metro area, NCmetro46
- Cookeville, TN metro area, TNmetro51
- Iowa City, IA metro area, IAmetro54
- Bowling Green, KY metro area, KYmetro49
- Brainerd, MN metro area, MNmetro39
Frequently asked questions
Is Winchester, VA metro area a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Winchester, VA metro area is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 52 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Winchester, VA metro area?
The median sale price in Winchester, VA metro area is $395K, having fallen 7% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Winchester, VA metro area?
Winchester, VA metro area scores 23 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.
What's driving Winchester, VA metro area's Alpha Score?
Winchester, VA metro area's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (88/100) and its weakest is Affordability (23/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Winchester, VA metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.