32Alpha

Tucson, AZ metro area Housing Market Brief

metro · AZ · as of August 2026

Buyer's

What is Tucson, AZ metro area’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
+8.051
Inventory Health25%
-7.732
Affordability20%
+1.526
Economic Strength20%
22
Rental Yield15%
+4.130

Where is Tucson, AZ metro area in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Tucson, AZ metro area is classified as Mature holding near a healthy peak. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Tucson, AZ metro area?

Our model forecasts Tucson, AZ metro area’s home prices to rise about 1.2% over the next 12 months (high confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Tucson, AZ metro area housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$369K▲ +1.1%
Median Days on Market64 days0%
Months of Supply4.9-5.8%
Homes for Sale5,029-4.1%
Homes Sold1,079-0.7%
Median Price / Sq Ft$218-0.2%

How has Tucson, AZ metro area’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 32
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Tucson, AZ metro area

Frequently asked questions

Is Tucson, AZ metro area a buyer's or seller's market?

As of August 2026, Tucson, AZ metro area is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 32 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Tucson, AZ metro area?

The median sale price in Tucson, AZ metro area is $369K, having risen 1.1% over the past year.

How affordable is Tucson, AZ metro area?

Tucson, AZ metro area scores 26 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.

What's driving Tucson, AZ metro area's Alpha Score?

Tucson, AZ metro area's strongest dimension is Price Momentum (51/100) and its weakest is Economic Strength (22/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Tucson, AZ metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.