46Alpha

Jefferson City, MO metro area Housing Market Brief

metro · MO · score computed October 2026

Balanced

What is Jefferson City, MO metro area’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●56
Inventory Health25%
●18

Population band 4 of 5 (population 112,714–277,881) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●64
Economic Strength20%
●68
Rental Yield15%
●25

Where is Jefferson City, MO metro area in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Jefferson City, MO metro area is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Jefferson City, MO metro area?

Metro-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Jefferson City, MO metro area housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$284K▲ +1.6%Redfin
Median Days on Market22 days▲ +69.2%Redfin
Months of Supply2.4▲ +20%Redfin
Homes for Sale361▲ +41%Redfin
Homes Sold152▲ +17.8%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$143▲ +4.1%Redfin

How has Jefferson City, MO metro area’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 46
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Jefferson City, MO metro area

Frequently asked questions

Is Jefferson City, MO metro area a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Jefferson City, MO metro area is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 46 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Jefferson City, MO metro area?

The median sale price in Jefferson City, MO metro area is $284K, having risen 1.6% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Jefferson City, MO metro area?

Jefferson City, MO metro area scores 64 out of 100 on affordability — relatively affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.

What's driving Jefferson City, MO metro area's Alpha Score?

Jefferson City, MO metro area's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (68/100) and its weakest is Inventory Health (18/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Jefferson City, MO metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.